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Boomers still obsessed 2023-12-14

Gulf Coast Market Update

Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update

Decmber 14th, 2023 

Boomers are still 

obsessed with retiring 

in Florida

Retirees just can’t quit Florida. Whether it’s the endless appeal of roasting under the sun or screaming out Jeopardy answers in an overly drafty apartment decorated in pastels from the 1980s, boomers are still moving to the Sunshine State for their post-workforce lives. That’s all despite the fact that some of their peers have been increasingly priced out of the Florida market.

 

Here’s the top cities boomers moved to in 2022, as a percentage of the population.

Clearwater, FL

Reno, NV

Orlando, FL

Cape Coral, FL

Billings, MT

Surprise, AZ

Henderson, NV

 Mesa, AZ

High Point, NC

St Petersburg, FL

Florida has been a popular destination for retirees for so long that it’s become a stereotype. With sunshine, no income tax, and at one point a relatively low cost of living, it makes sense that it’s a top choice among retirees or those looking to retire soon.

But Florida also became too popular for its own good during the pandemic, as both young professionals, the wealthy and the ultra-wealthy flocked to the state during the initial remote work boom. It all accelerated Florida’s cost of living; home prices in Florida have increased 73.5% over the past five years and some metro areas in the state have seen some of the fastest rising inflation in the nation, making the once affordable state not so affordable for some retirees.

Source: Yahoo Finance

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Just Listed

 

Ocean Sands Two

Unit 702

2 Bedroom, 2 Bath

1,225 Square Feet

Direct Gulf Front

 

$1,250,000

Mortgage Rates 

Drop Below 

Seven Percent

 

Potential homebuyers received welcome news this week as mortgage rates dropped below seven percent for the first time since August. Given inflation continues to decelerate and the Federal Reserve Board’s current expectations that they will lower the federal funds target rate next year, there will likely be a gradual thawing of the housing market in the new year.

For Sale

Condos on the Gulf

Condos on the Bay

Waterfront Homes

Belleair Homes

Seminole Homes

Income Properties

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Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829

© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.

Posted in: Newsletters

Pinellas County trucks in Sand 2023-12-08

Gulf Coast Market Update

Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update

Decmber 8th, 2023 

Pinellas County 

uses sand from 

Polk County for 

Beach Renourishment

The sand Pinellas County has been using for emergency beach dune renourishment has been coming from mines near Davenport and driven about 90 miles to the Gulf of Mexico coastline. The county normally pumps sand from the Gulf onto the beach for renourishment, but that process requires a federal permit, which the county can’t secure because it’s in a battle with the Army Corps of Engineers over required permanent easements from all homeowners.

Engineers evaluated the sand sources for emergency beach dune renourishment from three different mines, prior to accepting the material. The inland sand must match the powder sugar-white beach sand. Florida statute requires a match to protect the sea turtles.

Funding beach renourishment is tricky. For years, Pinellas beaches have relied on a combination of funding. The standard? 65% from the federal government and 17.5% from Florida’s Tourist Development Tax. One-half of one percent of that tax gets set aside annually for beach renourishment projects, amounting to about $5 million or more. “That is why the Army Core of Engineers is important to renourish the beaches,” explains John Bishop, Coastal Management Coordinator of Pinellas County. The Army Corps represents that crucial 65% of federal funding.

Source: Bay News 9

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Coming Soon

 

Ocean Sands Two

Unit 702

2 Bedroom, 2 Bath

1,225 Square Feet

Direct Gulf Front

 

$1,250,000

Nearing Seven Percent 

Mortgage Rates 

Continue to Decrease

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged near 7 percent this week, down from nearly 7.80 percent just six weeks ago. When rates began to rapidly drop, purchase applications rebounded initially, but this improvement in demand diminished in the last week. Although these lower rates remain a welcome relief, it is clear they will have to further drop to more consistently reinvigorate demand.

For Sale

Condos on the Gulf

Condos on the Bay

Waterfront Homes

Belleair Homes

Seminole Homes

Income Properties

­


Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829

© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.

Posted in: Newsletters

Florida Sill #1 2023-12-01

Gulf Coast Market Update

Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update

Decmber 1st, 2023 

Florida Still # One

Map shows which states people are moving out of and where people are going. Outflow from California and New York still remains the highest. Florida is still the number one destination while migration to Texas has slowed down.

Relative to its population, Florida had a fairly small rate of arrivals from California, Census Bureau data shows, just 1 person per 1,000 residents. But the households that do move from California to Florida are also wealthier, on average, than those making the opposite trip. 

The average household income among people who moved from California to Florida between 2020 and 2021 was nearly $200,000, according to from the IRS.

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Just Listed

Redington Shores

Yacht & Tennis Club

Las Flores 601

Three Bedrooms

Three Baths

Northwest Corner 

Expansive Bay and Gulf Views

Gated Community

2007 Construction

 

$1,299,900

Coming Soon

Sea Breeze

Sea Breeze Unit 206

Direct Gulf Front

Two Bedrooms

Two Baths

Corner Unit

Ideal Vacation Rental

3 Day Minimum

 

$1,175,000

Mortgage Rates Drop 

for the 

Fifth Consecutive Week

Market sentiment has significantly shifted over the last month, leading to a continued decline in mortgage rates. The current trajectory of rates is an encouraging development for potential homebuyers, with purchase application activity recently rising to the same level as mid-September when rates were similar to today’s levels. The modest uptick in demand over the last month signals that there will likely be more competition in a market that remains starved for inventory.

For Sale

Condos on the Gulf

Condos on the Bay

Waterfront Homes

Belleair Homes

Seminole Homes

Income Properties

­


Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829

© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.

Posted in: Newsletters

Owners Not Selling 2023-11-16

Gulf Coast Market Update

Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update

November 16th, 2023 

Owners Not Selling? 

‘Lock-In Effect’ 

Isn’t Only Reason

While owners don’t want to give up 3%-ish mortgage rates, 

a survey found other reasons.

 

A study from Fannie Mae casts doubt on the theory that homeowners aren’t moving because their next-home mortgage rate will be notably higher than the one they currently have – something in the neighborhood of 3% secured during the Covid pandemic. There’s more to the decline in existing homes for sale than just the lock-in effect,” say Fannie Mae economists. A low mortgage rate was only one of several reasons people are staying put.

 

Baby boomers represent 32% of homeowners, and over 80% said they would like to “age in place.”

 

Some buyers sought out desirable homes in vacation destinations since they no longer had to go into the office. 

 

Others spent heavily on remodeling and upgrading their home.

 

Buyers who had a propensity to move “within the next few years,” may have shortened their timeline because of Covid and that, in turn, removed some potential sellers from the current market.

Source: Fannie Mae’s Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) group

­

Mortgage Rates 

Trend Down

For the third straight week, mortgage rates trended down, as new data indicates that inflationary pressures are receding. The combination of continued economic strength, lower inflation and lower mortgage rates should likely bring more potential homebuyers into the market. 

For Sale

Condos on the Gulf

Condos on the Bay

Waterfront Homes

Belleair Homes

Seminole Homes

Income Properties

­


Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829

© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.

Posted in: Newsletters

Bleisure rental market 2023-11-09

Gulf Coast Market Update

Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update

November 9th, 2023 

The‘ Bleisure’ 

Rental Market in Florida

Private equity firm TPG Inc has been buying single-family homes in Florida vacation areas, where it is renting them out daily as alternatives to hotels and short-term rentals on websites such as Airbnb, the Wall Street Journal reported.  TPG is aiming to tap into a trend where people are combining business and leisure trips in a phenomenon the lodging industry calls ‘bleisure’ travel, while also targeting those who want more space, a kitchen and greater privacy than a hotel can offer.  

Bleisure: travel that combines both business and leisure, by not committing to one purpose solely. People on a bleisure trip, will typically add some extra days to their business trip in order to relax

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OPEN HOUSE
  Sunday November 12th
1:00 to 4:00

Lighthouse Pointe
Unit 106

17980 Gulf Blvd 

Redington Shores FL 33708

 
2 Bedroom / Bath Corner Unit
1,405 Square Feet
Private staircase to Beach
$975,000
 

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Treasury Yields Decline

Mortgage Rates Move Down

As Treasury yields decline, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped a quarter of a percent, the largest one-week decrease since last November. Incoming data show that household debt continues to rise, primarily due to mortgage, credit card and student loan balances. Many consumers are feeling strained by the high cost of living, so unless mortgage rates decrease significantly, the housing market will remain stagnant.

Typically, the gap between the 10-year Treasury yield and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate spans 1.5 to 2 percentage points. For much of 2023, that margin has grown to 3 percentage points, making mortgages more expensive. See below.

For Sale

Condos on the Gulf

Condos on the Bay

Waterfront Homes

Belleair Homes

Seminole Homes

Income Properties

­


Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829

© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.

Posted in: Newsletters

High End Homebuyers 2023-11-03

 
Gulf Coast Market Update
 
Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update
 
November 3rd, 2023 
 
 
High End Homebuyers
Propping-Up the Market
 
 
Deep-pocketed home buyers who are paying cash to avoid rising mortgage rates are propping up the housing market, as high rates keep many borrowers on the sidelines.
Prices, sales and inventory of luxury homes—defined as the top 5% of the market—are all outpacing the overall housing market, a shift from late 2021 when wealthy buyers began tapping the brakes.
According to Redfin, the median luxury sale price during the third quarter of 2023 rose 9% year-over-year to $1.1 million, nearly three times the annual jump for nonluxury homes, where the median price rose 3.3% to $340,000. While luxury home sales during the third quarter were still down 10.6% compared with the same period last year, sales of nonluxury homes fared worse, dropping 17% year-over-year.
According to Redfin, 42.5% of luxury buyers paid cash during the third quarter, compared with 34.6% during the same period a year ago.
 
After a Multi-Week Climb
Mortgage Rates Level Off
 
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage paused its multi-week climb but continues to hover under eight percent. The Federal Reserve again decided not to raise interest rates but have not ruled out a hike before year-end. Coupled with geopolitical uncertainty, this ambiguity around monetary policy will likely have an impact on the overall economic landscape and may continue to stall improvements in the housing market.
 
 
For Sale
 
 
Condos on the Gulf
 
 
Condos on the Bay
 
 
Waterfront Homes
 
 
Belleair Homes
 
 
Seminole Homes
 
 
Income Properties
 
 
 
 

Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829
 
 
© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.
 

Posted in: Newsletters

How popular is Florida? 2023-10-27

 
Gulf Coast Market Update
 
Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update
 
October 27th, 2023 
 
 
Google study says
folks in these states are
interested in moving here
 
 
Florida saw more new residents than any other state in 2022 and recent studies suggest that it has continued to be one of the most popular states to move to in 2023.
A recent study released by real estate marketing company Hyperwired analyzed Google searches that included phrases like “move to,” “relocate to,” and “homes in” for each state to find the most popular relocation destinations for each one.
 
Is Florida the most
popular stateto move to?
 
According to a July study by moving company SelfStorage and Hyperwired’s findings Florida is still the most-desired state to move to in 2023.

Here are the 23 states where Google search data reflects Florida as the number one most-desired place to move to:
 
  • Alabama
  • Colorado
  • Delaware
  • Georgia
  • Illinois
  • Indiana
  • Iowa
  • Kentucky
  • Maryland
  • Michigan
  • Minnesota
  • Missouri
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • North Carolina
  • Ohio
  • Oklahoma
  • South Carolina
  • South Dakota
  • Tennessee
  • Virginia
  • West Virginia
  • Wisconsin
 
Gulf Front Condo
Market Update
 
Madeira Beach, North Redington Beach and Redington Shores
 
 
IIt’s no secret our world renown beaches on The Gulf of Mexico are a major reason people want to live in Pinellas County. Our Real Estate market begins on the beach and moves inland from there.We can learn alot from the real estate market  along the shoreline. Here is a summary of the research I just completed.
 
Median Price Per Square Foot
Number of Units Sold
Cash Sales
 
The MEDIAN (middle) Sale Price per square foot is up 7% year over year through the third quarter in spite of a sharp decrease in quarter two of 2023. The number of units sold is down 28% for the same period in spite of a sharp increase in quarter two of 2023. 67% of the transactions were cash/no mortgage.
 
Mortgage Rates
Continue to climb
Toward 8%
 
For the seventh week in a row, mortgage rates continued to climb toward eight percent, resulting in the longest consecutive rise since the Spring of 2022. Rates have risen two full percentage points in 2023 alone and, as we head into Halloween, the impacts may scare potential homebuyers. Purchase activity has slowed to a virtual standstill, affordability remains a significant hurdle for many and the only way to address it is lower rates and greater inventory.
 
 
For Sale
 
 
Condos on the Gulf
 
 
Condos on the Bay
 
 
Waterfront Homes
 
 
Belleair Homes
 
 
Seminole Homes
 
 
Income Properties
 
 
 
 

Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829
 
 
© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.
 

Posted in: Newsletters

Real Estate slowdown 2023-10-20

 
Gulf Coast Market Update
 
Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update
 
October 20th, 2023 
 
 
The housing market is
about to have its
slowest year since the
real estate bubble burst in 2008
 
 
High rates and low inventory are contributing to the worst year for home sales since 2008, the year the housing bubble burst, according to National Association of Realtors projections.
At its current pace, total existing-home sales in 2023 are projected to amount to 4.1 million according to NAR. That would be th lowest number since the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008—a year that also saw the unemployment rate spike to nearly 8% and millions of Americans home equity evaporate. By comparison, there were more than 6 million home sales in 2021, NAR data shows.
The “lock-in effect” can also explain the slowing of existing-home sales. Normally, existing homeowners looking to move or trade up are responsible for a large portion of homes on the market. Current homeowners who bought when rates were below 3% during the pandemic are reluctant to sell and reenter the market as mortgage rates are climbing toward 8%.
 
Mortgage Rates
Approach 8%
 
Mortgage rates continued to approach eight percent this week, further impacting affordability. In this environment, it’s important that borrowers shop around with multiple lenders for the best mortgage rate. With research showing down payment is the single largest barrier to first-time homebuyers attaining homeownership.
 
 
For Sale
 
 
Condos on the Gulf
 
 
Condos on the Bay
 
 
Waterfront Homes
 
 
Belleair Homes
 
 
Seminole Homes
 
 
Income Properties
 
 
 
 

Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829
 
 
© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.
 

Posted in: Newsletters

RE groups implore Fed 2023-10-13

 
Gulf Coast Market Update
 
Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update
 
October 13th, 2023 
 
 
Real estate groups
implore the Fed
to stop rate hikes
 
 
In a letter to Fed Chair Jerome Powell this week, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), the National Association of Realtors (NAR), and the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) urged the Fed to state that it’s not considering further rate hikes and that it will hold off on selling any more mortgage-backed securities until the housing finance market stabilizes.
The move is the first time the groups have addressed the central bank directly since its rate hiking campaign started in March of 2022 and is the latest sign of how “ongoing market uncertainty” around the Fed’s rate course is pummeling the housing market, which — the groups say — could spill over to the broader economy.
 
 
Full Story
 
Mortgage Rates
Continue to Climb
 
For the fifth consecutive week, mortgage rates rose as ongoing market and geopolitical uncertainty continues to increase. The good news is that the economy and incomes continue to grow at a solid pace, but the housing market remains fraught with significant affordability constraints. As a result, purchase demand remains at a three-decade low.
 
 
For Sale
 
 
Condos on the Gulf
 
 
Condos on the Bay
 
 
Waterfront Homes
 
 
Belleair Homes
 
 
Seminole Homes
 
 
Income Properties
 
 
 
 

Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829
 
 
© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.
 

Posted in: Newsletters

Appeal denied 2023-10-06

 
Gulf Coast Market Update
 
Gulf Coast
Real Estate Update
 
October 6th, 2023 
 
 
Judge denies appeal
to block Florida’s
Chinese property law
 
 
Attorneys for a group of plaintiffs this week urged a federal appeals court to block a new Florida law (SB 264) that restricts people from China from owning property in the state, saying the measure “mandates egregious national-origin discrimination.”
The lawsuit focuses on part of the measure that specifically puts restrictions on people from China who are not U.S. citizens or permanent U.S. residents. That part prevents people “domiciled” in China from purchasing property in Florida, with some exceptions.
The judge rejected the request for a preliminary injunction, stating that U.S. Supreme Court precedents have “held that states could deny aliens ownership interests in land within their respective borders absent an arbitrary or unreasonable basis.” He also indicated a key is that the “law classifies based on where an alien is domiciled.”
“It does not facially discriminate against noncitizens based on race or ancestry. It does not discriminate against noncitizens based on ‘the particular country in which one was born,’” the judge wrote, partially quoting a Supreme Court precedent.
 
 
Full Story
 
Mortgage Rates
Continue to Surge
 
Mortgage rates maintained their upward trajectory as the 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark, climbed. Several factors, including shifts in inflation, the job market and uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s next move, are contributing to the highest mortgage rates in a generation. Unsurprisingly, this is pulling back homebuyer demand.
 
 
For Sale
 
 
Condos on the Gulf
 
 
Condos on the Bay
 
 
Waterfront Homes
 
 
Belleair Homes
 
 
Seminole Homes
 
 
Income Properties
 
 
 
 

Doiron Realty Services
Pete Doiron
Broker


13800 Park Blvd. Suite 207
Seminole FL 33776
727-391-2829
 
 
© 2023 Doiron Realty, Inc.
 

Posted in: Newsletters

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Doiron Realty Services
727-391-2829
broker@doironrealty.com
18395 Gulf Boulevard Suite 203
Indian Shores, FL 33785
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